Gold dips below $4,000 after China ends some tax incentives

Bullion for immediate delivery slipped by as much as 1% during trading before recovering most of that decline, after Chinese jewellery stocks posted significant losses. The move highlights renewed sensitivity in metals markets to signs of weaker consumer demand in China, a major driver of global gold consumption.

What happened in the market

Spot bullion briefly dropped around 1% in intraday trading before paring most of the fall. The sell-off in Chinese jewellery shares weighed on investor sentiment, prompting traders to reassess near-term demand for gold and other precious metals.

Why Chinese jewellery stocks matter

China is one of the world’s largest consumers of gold through its jewellery market. When jewellery retailers and manufacturers struggle, it can signal softer retail demand and reduce physical buying of bullion. That linkage makes jewellery-sector performance a closely watched indicator for precious metals prices.

Drivers behind the tumble

  • Demand concerns: Lower sales or profit warnings in the jewellery sector raise doubts about consumer appetite for gold.
  • Sentiment spillover: Weakness in a high-profile market like China can prompt broader risk-off moves across commodities and equities.
  • Liquidity and short-term trading: Intraday volatility often reflects rapid repositioning by traders rather than long-term shifts.

What to watch next

  • Chinese retail data and jewellery company earnings for signs of recovery or further weakness.
  • Global economic indicators and central bank signals that influence interest rates and the dollar.
  • Physical demand trends, including seasonal buying patterns and festival seasons in key markets.

Short-term swings are likely to continue as market participants weigh Chinese demand against broader macroeconomic factors. For now, bullion remains sensitive to headlines out of the jewellery sector and any fresh data on consumer spending in China.

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